Sunday, August 6, 2006

Info!! Underneath The Stock Market's Sector Rotation

an before hold off at coin flows into S&P 500 stocks. I've taken the x nearly highly weighted issues inside 8 sectors (technology, energy, consumer discretionary, financial, consumer staples, materials, industrials, together with wellness care) together with summed a five-day moving average of dollar book flows into those lxxx stocks.

What nosotros run across is that, similar my recent assessment of coin flows into the Dow Industrials, selling pressure level has been abating since Jan together with we've been seeing little inflows of dollars to the marketplace since early on April. These inflows induce got been detail little over the yesteryear week, fifty-fifty every bit we've made fresh cost highs.

I induce got speculated that the argue we're seeing entirely little inflows of dollars to the marketplace is that much of the ascent has featured sector rotation: allotment of funds from for certain sectors (that had been marketplace winners during the decline) to others (that had been beaten downwardly during the decline).

To examine that rotation idea, I took a hold off at dollars flowing into together with out of sectors over the final x trading sessions (bottom chart). Dollar book catamenia is expressed inward millions of dollars for each of the 8 sectors mentioned above. What nosotros run across nearly notably is cyberspace outflows from materials, energy, together with consumer staples issues together with cyberspace inflows to applied scientific discipline together with fiscal sectors. Indeed, essentially all of the market's cyberspace inflows tin endure accounted for yesteryear the rotation out of the commodity-related themes (materials, energy) together with into technology.

On the surface, it looks every bit though in that location is piddling coin flowing into or out of the S&P 500 universe. Underneath the surface, however, we're seeing potentially of import signs of property reallocation with investors.
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