Monday, August 21, 2006

Info!! Anticipating Reversals Past Times Tracking Participation Inward Stock Index Moves

my weekly indicator reviews; it's too why I similar to croak on tabs on private stocks together with sectors intraday.

Very often, marketplace reversals of management are preceded yesteryear waning participation inwards moves.

Above nosotros tin come across that regulation illustrated inwards yesterday's marketplace activity inwards the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) together with the xxx Dow stocks. The nautical chart tracks the number of Dow issues making fresh two-hour cost highs minus those making two-hour lows; that number is updated every 5 minutes. Only closing five-minute prices are used for the calculation.

Early inwards the morning, the Dow moved lower, bounced a bit, together with hence moved to a novel cost depression for the day. That cost depression did non present an expansion inwards the number of element stocks registering fresh novel lows. That was a alert that the spend upwardly was running out of steam.

As the marketplace reversed, novel highs steadily expanded, which kept traders inwards the trending move. Note, however, that the fresh cost highs unopen to 2 PM ET were non confirmed yesteryear the novel highs. This deterioration was a overnice enjoin for the selloff belatedly inwards the day: the ascension was running out of steam. Waning participation preceded reversal.

It is non necessary to monitor all stocks inside an index to rail participation. Tracking private sector ETFs tin move a useful strategy every bit well. In general, if I come across multiple S&P 500 sectors non participating inwards a motion to novel highs or lows inwards the ES contract, I volition move probable to accept profits if I'm riding that move, together with I'll move probable to await for spots to fade the move. Combining assessments of participation (new highs/lows) amongst readings of shifts inwards persuasion (TICK, Market Delta) tin move real effective inwards identifying directional changes inwards the indexes.

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