Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Info!! Indicator Review For December 8Th

Last week's indicator review noted, "If nosotros cannot sustain novel 20-day highs exceeding novel lows inwards the coming week, I volition facial expression a exam of recent marketplace position lows. I would facial expression at a sustained suspension inwards a higher house 900 inwards the ES futures every bit intermediate-term bullish for stocks, specially if accompanied past times a meaningful expansion inwards the number of issues making fresh novel highs." As nosotros tin come across from the novel highs/lows (middle chart) nosotros were non able to sustain a surplus of novel highs next Monday's precipitous decline. Interestingly, however, the S&P 500 Index futures establish repeated back upwardly inwards the 810-820 region, good inwards a higher house the acquit marketplace position lows. Fri was a specially important twenty-four hours inwards that nosotros sold off on real bad jobs news, but i time once again could non pierce the S&P support. The marketplace position rallied piece of cake inwards the day, bringing us to a neutral orbit inwards the Cumulative Demand/Supply Index (top chart).

Nor is the inability to drib on bad economical word the solely bullish indication for this market. The Cumulative Adjusted NYSE TICK describe (bottom chart) continued to grind higher through the week, indicating that to a greater extent than stocks were transacting on upticks than downticks, despite the repeated testing of Monday's lows. Too, nosotros closed the calendar week amongst 53% of SPX stocks trading inwards a higher house their 20-day moving averages, a salubrious boundary from the week's lows. While we've rallied nicely, neither the Cumulative DSI nor the percent of stocks inwards a higher house their moving averages are anywhere nearly overbought levels.

To last sure, nosotros choose yet to come across fresh 20-day highs function past times novel lows; every bit I updated inwards my Twitter post, nosotros had 355 novel 20-day highs on Fri against 765 lows. Money catamenia for the Dow stocks, which I likewise update via Twitter each AM prior to trading days, was likewise negative on the calendar week as well as solely modestly positive on Friday.

In sum, the ball is inwards the bull's court. We made several runs at the lows this past times calendar week as well as held at higher lows. We rallied off bad economical word as well as straight off are testing resistance at SPX 900. As noted inwards the quote inwards a higher house from final week's review, a rigid closed inwards a higher house 900 amongst an expansion of novel 20-day highs would confirm an intermediate-term uptrend. Failure to rest inwards a higher house the 900 orbit would hold us inwards a arrive at boundary marketplace position and, ultimately, would Pb me to facial expression a exam of final week's lows at minimum.
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