the recent post inwards which I outlined the importance of recognizing meaning selling pressure level inwards the marketplace position yesteryear monitoring extreme values of NYSE TICK. In the nautical chart above, a five-minute nautical chart of the early on merchandise inwards the ES futures (dark bluish line), I've overlaid the highest NYSE TICK value for the 5 infinitesimal periods (pink) too the lowest TICK values (yellow).
What we're doing is treating these every bit assort distributions, alongside the high TICK representing buying pressure level too the depression TICK representing selling pressure level for that fourth dimension period. In general, values higher upwards +800 stand upwards for meaning buying pressure; values below -800 stand upwards for meaning selling pressure. When nosotros larn periods inwards which neither buying nor selling pressure level is significant, nosotros tend to encounter quieter, gain action.
Notice that, early on inwards the day, nosotros had meaning selling pressure, alongside many depression TICK readings falling below that -800 threshhold. Up to 10:30 AM CT, moreover, nosotros had no high TICK readings exceeding +800.
Observe, however, that every bit the morn unfolded, nosotros were seeing successively higher depression TICK readings (light bluish arrow). This was our begin clue that selling pressure level was drying up. The drying upwards of selling, though, is non plenty to cause a rally. For that, nosotros demand an influx of buying. We saw that roughly 10:35 AM CT, when the high TICK broke higher upwards +800 for the begin of several times.
This breakout inwards the distribution of TICK (labeled inwards calorie-free blue) indicated to us that novel institutional buyers were entering the marketplace. To sustain values higher upwards +800 (or below -800), nosotros demand broad-based buying (or selling) of a broad gain of stocks, too that buying or selling needs to live on simultaneous. That tin dismiss exclusively gain off when institutions are transacting large baskets of stocks inwards a directional manner, too therefore that all those stocks are trading on upticks (or downticks).
Note that when our side yesteryear side bout of selling occurred roughly 11:45 AM CT, nosotros neared simply did non quite accomplish the -800 level. Subsequent selling 1 time once again began to dry out upwards (second calorie-free bluish arrow) too toll held good higher upwards its morn lows. Moreover, fifty-fifty during this catamenia of selling, regime annotation that nosotros had a twain of meaning buying readings (above +800) too that the ratio of buying to selling values was higher than it had been before inwards the morning.
In short, the sellers could non force toll lower too could non brand buyers become away. As a result, nosotros saw some other upside breakout inwards TICK roughly 12:50 PM CT, alongside toll breaking higher upwards its opening level. That reversed morn weakness too gear upwards us upwards for an afternoon rally. Those who caught the shifting dynamics of buying too selling pressure level during the morn were good poised to accept wages of the afternoon strength.
Is buying pressure level increasing or decreasing over time? Is selling pressure level increasing or decreasing over time? How is the ratio of buying to selling pressure level changing over time? How is toll responding to shifts inwards buying too selling pressure?
There are many proficient questions that nosotros tin dismiss inquire during the trading twenty-four lx minutes catamenia to catch marketplace position reversals.
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