Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Info!! Drawdown Diagnosis: Agreement Why Y'all Are Losing Money

When you lot sense a drawdown inwards your profitability, the almost of import affair you lot tin laissez passer the sack do is accurately diagnose what is going on.  There are 3 possibilities:

1)  Nothing is going on - The drawdown is normal together with expectable for you lot together with your trading approach.  Unless you lot convey an insanely high Sharpe ratio historically (steady gains, pocket-size losses), you lot tin laissez passer the sack count on sequences of losing trades together with losing days, weeks, together with months.  You don't desire to overreact to every losing menstruum together with continually modify what you're doing; otherwise, you'd never build expertise inwards whatever detail trading modality.

2)  Market convey changed - This is clearest when you lot position shifts inwards marketplace trends, volatility, together with correlation over the menstruum of your drawdown.  A recent Bloomberg article inwards which I was quoted makes this quest really well:  immature traders convey non lived through rising charge per unit of measurement regimes together with could last surprised past times changing marketplace patterns (such equally the correlation of stock together with bond returns).  If your drawdown correlates amongst such a menstruum of marketplace change, approximately adaptation is inwards order.  Not all trading problems are psychological inwards origin.

3)  You are trading poorly - H5N1 dominant subject in my forthcoming book is the importance of knowing your best practices.  If you lot know what you lot do good when you lot are making money, you're almost probable to last able to position when you lot deviate from those strengths.  Poor trading tin laissez passer the sack final result from distraction, fatigue, frustration, and/or patterns of negative self-talk.  Until you lot address those factors, putting uppercase at gamble undermines your trading business.

Markets continually challenge us, together with that is what prods us to continually change.  Drawdowns are the market's means of telling us that nosotros necessitate to focus on our trading together with non on screens.  Some of the greatest together with almost constructive changes inwards people's trading convey been inspired past times the almost painful losses.

Further Reading:  Best Practices During Trading Slumps
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