Showing posts sorted by relevance for query the-foundation-of-trading-success. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query the-foundation-of-trading-success. Sort by date Show all posts

Saturday, December 22, 2018

Info!! How Trading Success Happens

When I commencement began working amongst traders, my cardinal insight was that trading is a functioning activity.  What makes for trading success is non hence dissimilar from what makes for success inwards other functioning fields, whether they live on performing arts, athletics, chess, or surgery.  In each of these fields, the star performer begins amongst certainly inborn talents as well as and hence refines those through a procedure of training, mentoring, as well as coaching.  Training as well as mentoring construct cognition as well as skills as well as accelerate the learning process.  Coaching provides guidance as well as helps performers channel their talents as well as skills to where they tin give the axe live on most successfully applied.  Long earlier elite performers induce fame or fortune, they pass long hours inwards becoming.  Their focus is on improvement, the refinement of skills, as well as the evolution of novel ones--not on the the trappings of success.

There are few, far every bit good few, places where developing traders tin give the axe do goodness from the thoughtful integration of training, mentoring, as well as coaching.  It's ane argue I've been such a fan of the edifice of teams inside trading firms.  Those teams enable senior traders to do goodness from the move of junior traders, as well as they render hands-on learning, mentoring, as well as coaching for those juniors.  The learning takes house on the desk, merely every bit an athlete's learning takes house on the field--in practise as well as during games.

No ane expects an athlete to develop yesteryear reading books, taking classes, or practicing on their own.  No ane develops every bit a performing creative individual yesteryear writing inwards journals as well as trying out dissimilar songs or plays.  In functioning fields, aspiring performers larn from experienced performers as well as those knowledgeable well-nigh the functioning domain.  Medical students are trained at the bedside yesteryear practicing physicians; chess players hone their talents inwards academies run yesteryear chess masters as well as grandmasters.

If I were looking to croak successful inwards the trading world, I would larn or hence skills and/or develop or hence surface area of expertise that would brand me valuable to a trading squad or firm.  I would as well as hence contribute my skills to that squad as well as larn everything they're doing that makes them successful.  Over time, I would integrate my abilities as well as sense amongst what I've learned to develop my ain path to success--and as well as hence I would cement that learning/development yesteryear serving every bit a mentor for a novel generation of juniors who could inwards plow brand me better.

I've worked amongst many individuals, many trading teams, as well as many trading firms.  That is how success happens.

Further Reading:  The Foundation of Trading Success
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Info!! The Foundation Of Trading Success: Finding Multiple Ways To Win

Successful traders lay real deep foundations.

What does that mean?

It agency that they honor multiple ways to win together with railroad train sense together with expertise inward each of those areas.

Think of whatever successful company:  a soft gulp company, an automobile manufacturer, an electronics maker.  All bring many products that they sell.  Each i is a potential net turn a profit center, together with the combination of multiple net turn a profit centers creates a deep foundation for the business.  If i yr SUVs don't sell, the auto manufacturer tin sell fuel-efficient sedans or sports cars.  Multiple ways to win agency that yous tin win fifty-fifty when roughly of your strategies don't.

The successful coin managing director creates a portfolio of relatively independent trades, each of which possesses positive expected value.  One thought mightiness last to last long the U.S.A. dollar because of involvement charge per unit of measurement trends together with fundamental banking concern policies inward the U.S.A. versus other countries.  Another thought mightiness last to last long mega-cap stocks together with curt micro caps because of the anticipated touching on of financial stimulus together with taxation credits.  Still roughly other thought mightiness last to purchase agricultural commodities because of a modify inward long gain weather condition forecasts from the best meteorologists.  Such a portfolio has multiple ways to win...if i thought doesn't travel out, the others can.

Similarly, the active daytrader may merchandise a reversal designing alongside active stocks nearly the opened upwards together with and thence merchandise a surprise earnings study afterwards inward the twenty-four lx minutes stream alongside a unmarried stocks together with and thence merchandise a trending stock into the close. Over the course of didactics of the day, the active trader has placed many trades, each alongside an edge.  It is the series pursuit of chance that creates diversification each day.  One merchandise tin neglect together with the twenty-four lx minutes stream tin even thence last profitable.

What that agency is that successful traders must last able to nowadays at 2 levels.  First, they must honor novel ideas together with fresh opportunities.  Second, they must cultivate novel sources of ideas together with opportunity.  The commencement involves exploiting the edges nosotros already possess; the 2nd involves identifying additional edges.  The successful trader is never static, never theme on i type of marketplace status to brand a living.  Just every bit query together with evolution is the lifeblood of technology scientific discipline together with pharmaceutical companies, it is the origin of long-term success for traders.

When successful traders aren't trading, they are researching, developing, together with innovating.  When unsuccessful traders aren't trading, they're staring at screens together with forcing trades.  There is null amend for trading psychology than beingness at the cutting border of a growing business.

What makes a trader successful is discipline:  doing the correct matter alongside fidelity.  What keeps a trader successful is innovation:  doing novel things together with turning them into disciplines.

Monday, January 14, 2019

Info!! 3 Essential Ingredients Of Effective Trading Processes

As the quote from Peter Drucker suggests, efficiency is of express value if we're non effective.  We non alone ask to create things right, only ensure that we're doing the correct things.

What goes into successful trading processes?  Here are 3 hallmarks of effectiveness that I've observed across a diversity of professional person traders:

1)  Original Research - I of late spoke amongst a trader near the departure betwixt trading ideas that yous prepare for yourself vs. ideas that yous borrow from what your read or listen from others.  The successful traders I know create their ain work.  Yes, they verbalise over ideas amongst people and, yes, they read research, only where they add together value is inward how they synthesize that information.  Without excavation into ideas on your own, yous never genuinely arrive at a sense of regain too conviction inward those ideas.  As a result, it's tardily to grade upwards on the trades every bit presently every bit they run into adverse cost movement.  The best trading ideas are distinguished past times their breadth (combining data across fourth dimension frames and/or markets); depth (level of item too understanding); too originality (looking at novel things or viewing quondam things inward novel ways).  Successful generation of ideas goes beyond consensus thinking.

2)  Planful Expression too Management of Trades - The successful traders I know pose considerable fourth dimension into structuring their trades (finding really goodness risk/reward) too managing their positions (scaling inward or out of trades, managing risk/reward inward existent time).  One trader of late wanted to create goodness from an anticipated spend upwards inward stocks, only was concerned near sudden short-covering rallies.  He bought a long dated pose spread too express his dollar exposure to the trade.  That allowed him to ride out marketplace choppiness too accept a prissy net turn a profit on the seat when volatility expanded.  The thoughtful role of options enabled him to participate inward a displace that others missed because of getting stopped out due to marketplace noise.  Yet approximately other trader I know achieved a similar goal past times asset modestly sized marrow positions, trading amongst wider stops, too tactically taking profits when markets became stretched inward a favorable direction.  Money management is fundamental to the effectiveness of trading processes.

3)  Detailed Reviews - The best trading processes include an chemical ingredient of character control.  By periodically reviewing functioning too highlighting areas for improvement, traders ensure that they are learning too developing fifty-fifty every bit they may hold upwards drawing down.  As I've emphasized elsewhere, those detailed reviews likewise include episodes of really positive performance.  Traders who opposite engineer too map out their strengths are inward a goodness seat to plow best practices into process-driven habits.  Trading reviews supply the foundation of trading goals, too trading goals supply the template for hereafter trading plans too actions.  Without reviews, goal setting, too farther reviews, trading sense volition non plow into trading expertise.  We learn, non from experience, only from what nosotros create amongst our experience.

How effective is your trading?  What are yous doing that is particular too unique inward each of these 3 areas?  If nosotros don't create bully things each day, our sense is unlikely to add together upwards to anything great.

Further Reading:  Productivity too Success
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Friday, February 8, 2019

Info!! Turning Your Best Practices Into Best Processes

When I began working at a counseling see years ago, waiting lists for services were the norm--both at that see too across similar centers.  In many cases, people had to await weeks to laid about coming together alongside a counselor.  From my perspective, waiting lists were an accident waiting to happen.  It was solely a affair of fourth dimension earlier someone on a waiting listing deteriorated significantly inwards their functioning, leading to an unfortunate final result too potential legal liabilities.

So when I was asked to Pb a counseling see at my adjacent institution, I laid a policy of no waiting lists.  In guild to attain that, I engaged inwards exhaustive enquiry concerning the types of clients who almost could create goodness from short-term intervention; those that were almost probable to create goodness from medication; those that were almost probable to require longer-term therapy; etc.  I also scoured the enquiry literature for criteria to create upward one's take away heed approaches to counseling almost probable to create goodness item people too problems, drawing upon evidence-based guidelines.

Each research-based finding led to a best practice.  For instance, I learned that outcomes were best for people alongside sure as shooting kinds of depression if structured cognitive-behavioral therapy was combined alongside anti-depressant medication.  The combination of many best practices led to a best process:  past times routing people to the correct kinds of assistance that were almost probable to live on successful, outcomes were improved too waiting lists evaporated.  Therapy became to a greater extent than efficient equally good equally to a greater extent than effective ane time an evidence-based triage procedure was established.

The previous post reached out to readers to inquire for their best practices:  actions that bring been almost reliably associated alongside successful trading.  These, too, should live on evidence-based.  That agency that y'all are actively tracking what you're doing inwards markets too how you're doing it too seeing what industrial plant too what does not.  It also agency that you're tracking yourself too the personal factors that work organization human relationship for your skilful too bad trading.  For example, I bring consistently found that placing trades solely when backtested relationships are providing electrical flow signals increases my hitting charge per unit of measurement too my profitability.  Starting my trading twenty-four hours past times investigating those relationships is a best practice.

When nosotros string together a let on of best practices, nosotros acquire inwards at best processes.  My best procedure for marketplace training includes starting the twenty-four hours alongside exercise; eating lightly; updating markets for those backtested relationships; planning criteria for entries too exits; too writing downwardly my game excogitation for the trading session.  I bring learned that each of these best practices is associated alongside my best trading.  Combining them into a procedure creates a training routine:  I am turning best practices into ongoing piece of work habits.

The argue my novel book stresses the creation of best processes from best practices is that the one-time trading psychology--the ane that links trading success to "discipline"--is woefully limited.  When nosotros established the novel triage organization at the counseling center, no ane had to piece of work on their bailiwick to bear the correct kinds of assessments for novel clients.  Those assessments became constituent of an ongoing process:  they developed into routines.  The challenge for traders is non to motivate behaviors only to automate them.  First y'all report yourself too larn your best practices; too hence y'all uncovering ways to gather those best practices into a replicable workflow.

Thanks to readers who already bring submitted their best practices.  I specially encourage those involved inwards mentoring traders to share their best practices.  By creating a database of best practices, nosotros tin generate the edifice blocks for best processes too lay the foundation for to a greater extent than consistent trading performance.

Further Reading:  Four Pillars of Trading Process
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Saturday, December 22, 2018

Info!! Taking I Pace Beyond Failure

When nosotros pursue our greatest strengths as well as passions, success may non come upward easily, but it is non a fight.  When we're on the correct path, nosotros naturally pour ourselves into what we're doing as well as that supercharges our learning as well as development.  If you're inward the correct relationship, yous don't pass endless hours "working" on your relationship.  If you're inward the correct career, yous don't struggle to acquire piece of occupation done.  No ane has to forcefulness an creative individual to pigment or a scientist to study.  No ane has to prod an entrepreneur to acquire upward inward the morning time as well as acquire to work.  When nosotros pursue our greatest strengths as well as passions, nosotros don't postulate a push: nosotros are pulled toward our ideals.

So often, for this rattling reason, failure results from failing to pursue those strengths as well as passions.  We neglect because we're traveling the incorrect path.  We attempt to force ourselves to brand things piece of occupation out as well as that never achieves the motive forcefulness of passion's pull.  For years, I stayed inward a romantic human relationship that I persuasion I could brand piece of occupation out.  That made it hard to eventually appear the relationship's failure.  But it was that failure--and peculiarly the hurting of that failure--that taught me what I genuinely needed inward a relationship.  Little did I know that only 2 years subsequently that debacle I would discovery the individual who would transcend away my life partner as well as soul mate for right away over xxx years.

Early inward my career equally a psychologist, I flora myself inward a dead end.  The piece of occupation I nigh enjoyed was non the piece of occupation that consumed nigh of my hours.  I in conclusion confronted the failure of that dead terminate as well as pursued piece of occupation I loved--at a 33% pay cut.  It was ane of the best moves of my life.  I taught myself novel approaches to counseling, which formed the foundation for my eventual piece of occupation at a medical schoolhouse as well as thus alongside traders.  One stride beyond failure seat my success.

And thus it is alongside trading.  For years, I tried to brand myself into a longer-term trader, hopeful of integrating my trading alongside my piece of occupation equally a psychologist.  I never blew up, but I came to the indicate when I realized, alongside mutual frigidness clarity, that my trading was adding no value to my trouble organisation human relationship or my life.  Only thus did I get together myself, written report my winning trades, solid soil myself inward what I was expert at, as well as arts and crafts the short-term methodology that remains my electrical current breadstuff as well as butter.

If you're failing at about business office of your life, trying harder as well as doubling downwardly on your acquaint course of pedagogy is non necessarily the solution.  Often, at that spot is piece of occupation as well as important inward failure.  It teaches us that we're traveling the incorrect path, pursuing the incorrect ends.  Once nosotros screen the failure of the onetime path, we're costless to discovery success on a novel one.  Failure tin endure the best of teachers, but solely if we're willing to convey as well as larn from painful mistakes.

Further Reading:  Quotations on Success as well as Failure
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Tuesday, July 25, 2006

Info!! Eternal Truths Close Trading Success

A portfolio managing director lent me an interesting small-scale majority from the belatedly 1800s written past times Dickson G. Watts as well as reprinted past times Traders Press. Entitled "Speculation every bit a Fine Art as well as Thoughts on Life", the majority begins amongst a description of the "qualities essential to the equipment of a speculator" (p. 8). Here is the author's perspective, written good over a century ago:

* Self-Reliance - "A human being must intend for himself, must follow his ain convictions...Self-trust is the foundation of successful effort."

* Judgment - "...equipoise, that dainty adjustment of the faculties 1 to the other...is an essential to the speculator."

* Courage - "...confidence to human action on the decisions of the mind...be bold, even as well as hence hold out bold; ever hold out bold."

* Prudence - "The might of measurement the danger, together amongst a sure enough alertness as well as watchfulness, is real important."

* Pliability - "The might to alter an opinion, the might of revision."

I particularly similar Watts' formulation: "There should hold out a residual of the two, Prudence as well as Courage; Prudence inwards contemplation, Courage inwards execution."

This real much fits patterns of success I notice amid the close profitable traders. They are prudent inwards contemplating their ideas--they hold off for the odds to hold out inwards their favor as well as conserve their majuscule when the border is non there--but they are courageous inwards executing those ideas.

Equally important, they tin hold out courageous without getting their egos tied to their ideas. If markets are non confirming their views, Pliability ensures that they tin revise those views as well as non hang on to losing trades.

"The qualifications named are necessary to the makeup of the speculator," Watts explains, "but they must hold out inwards well-balanced combination. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 deficiency or an overplus of 1 character volition destroy the effectiveness of all" (p. 9).

Too much courageousness as well as besides trivial prudence leads to impulsive risk-taking. Too much pliability as well as besides trivial self-reliance leads traders to instruct chopped up, reacting frantically to the end marketplace movements.

Some trading truths never exit of date.

RELATED POSTS:

Four Overlooked Qualities of Successful Traders

Resilience as well as the Courage of Your Convictions
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Friday, August 9, 2019

Info!! Trading, Creativity, As Well As Becoming An Persuasion Factory

As I've mentioned inwards the past, dependent inwards merchandise execution in addition to lead chances management is i business office of the success equation inwards trading. Another business office of that success equation is generating novel ideas in addition to fresh perspectives on markets.  Discipline in addition to procedure orientation keeps us doing the correct things.  Creativity enables us to uncovering those correct things.

There are many ways of becoming an thought factory.  In a recent post, I described a method I role for establishing the toll targets for trades.  Quantifying targets helps amongst the dependent in addition to procedure orientation because it keeps me grounded inwards an updated appraisal of risk/reward.  But I detect that quantification likewise helps amongst thought generation.

Here's an example:  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 staple of my marketplace analysis is to position stable regimes inwards a marketplace in addition to a meat grouping of drivers that work organization human relationship for a pregnant component subdivision of variance inwards forrad toll movement during those regimes.  The models in addition to hence derived did a prissy undertaking of anticipating the recent marketplace strength, only did non produce a keen undertaking of anticipating the prior marketplace weakness.  This led me to investigate the electrical flow marketplace in addition to hold off for drivers of marketplace activity that I hadn't accounted for inwards the models.  Sure enough, it turns out that intermarket deportment was an of import factor that I had neglected inwards the before modeling.  This led to novel investigations in addition to insights.  

One demand non hold upward quantitatively oriented to leave of absence an thought factory.  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 hard-nosed review of losing trades volition oftentimes position where yous convey either misread markets or traded them suboptimally.  Either is fertile reason for learning in addition to adaptation.

the recent post.  This is a keen instance of the ability of priming.  By posting to his reckoner enshroud the diverse elements of problems he wishes to solve, Henry stimulates the creation of novel combinations in addition to associations.  These are the foundation of fresh ideas.

Discipline in addition to procedure orientation are necessary for success, only they are non sufficient.  As whatever work organization inwards a fast-changing marketplace knows, it is non plenty to execute stale ideas faithfully.  When yous are an thought factory, yous continuously renew your sources of border inwards markets.

Further Reading:  Success in addition to Failure Quotes

Friday, December 21, 2018

Info!! Capturing Value As Well As Momentum Inwards The Stock Market

In mid-2014 I hitting upon an catch for analyzing the forcefulness as well as weakness of the overall stock market. Suppose nosotros took every stock inwards the New York Stock Exchange as well as assessed whether it gave a purchase signal, a neutral signal, or a sell betoken for a touchstone technical indicator, such equally Bollinger Bands. Such a stair out would capture the breadth of forcefulness as well as weakness for stocks equally a whole, non but for the index itself.  Would this last a useful measure?  It turns out that the stair out was indeed useful as well as I began collecting the information daily from the Stock Charts website.

Then I hitting upon roughly other idea.  The signals from cumulated stock functioning on ane indicator (such equally Bollinger Bands) were unlike from the signals from other indicators (such equally RSI as well as Parabolic SAR).  Might it last useful to practice an indicator of indicators? This would exhibit occasions when nosotros convey forcefulness as well as weakness across all stocks *and* all indicators.  

The resulting cumulative indicator stair out is charted to a higher house from 2016 forrad (indicator inwards red; SPY inwards blue).  Even inside the considerable uptrend we've had over that menses inwards SPY, we've seen relative periods of overbought as well as oversold inwards the measure.  Note that nosotros currently stand upward at a significantly oversold level.

Going dorsum to June of 2014, when I kickoff began accumulating these data, side past times side 10 twenty-four hours returns inwards SPY convey averaged +.01% when nosotros convey been inwards the exceed one-half of the distribution for the cumulative measure.  When nosotros convey been inwards the bottom one-half of the measure, side past times side 10 twenty-four hours returns inwards SPY convey averaged +.63%.  This is a important value effect.  Returns convey been significantly amend over a swing menses when we've been oversold than when we've been overbought.  If nosotros intermission downwards returns past times quartiles, the upside returns are fifty-fifty to a greater extent than striking inwards the weakest (most oversold) quartile, which is where nosotros stand upward now. Interestingly, when the indicators convey been simultaneously strong, we've seen superior upside returns over the same 10 twenty-four hours horizon.  

In other words, the cumulative stair out is capturing both a value termination (buy when things convey gotten weak) as well as a momentum termination (buy when at that spot is a wide thrust higher). Returns convey been subnormal if nosotros are non broadly weak or broadly strong.

This is a overnice representative of the value of "big data" as well as particularly the value of well-conceived unique information sets.  As a discretionary trader, I divulge it crucial to last quantitatively informed.  I divulge that integration of discretionary as well as quantitative alongside the neat bulk of the successful traders as well as portfolio managers I locomote with.  Even for longer fourth dimension frame active investors, timing marketplace entries as well as exits with shorter-term measures that capture value as well as momentum tin flaming meaningfully heighten returns.

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Friday, February 8, 2019

Info!! Why It's Of Import To Become Amongst The Menses State

Thanks to flow states.  During these catamenia states, Kotler observes, active parts of our encephalon wearisome down.  This helps trouble concern human relationship for a distinctive human face of catamenia states:  nosotros dice as well as thus absorbed inwards what nosotros are doing that nosotros lose feel of time.

Kotler's recent book, The Rise of Superman, explains how the catamenia land is the foundation for functioning success inwards fields equally dissimilar equally athletics as well as jazz music.  Adventure athletes, he notes, are particularly skillful at hacking the catamenia state, utilizing a diversity of environmental, internal, as well as social triggers.  One of the reasons adventure athletics tin terminal attain catamenia is that "flow follows focus, as well as taking risks drives focus into the now."

What is mayhap most interesting nigh the catamenia land is that Implicit Learning as well as Trading Performance
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