Friday, January 24, 2020

Info!! Sector Update For July 12Th

Last week's sector review concluded that "Having failed to accomplish the make highs together with significantly weakened thereafter, the marketplace position appears poised to examination its make lows; I would non hold out surprised to run across us accept out those lows--particularly if novel 20-day lows alongside stocks transcend on to outnumber fresh 20-day highs." We did, indeed, deed below the May/June lows inwards the S&P 500 Index, continuing the intermediate-term correction.

Above nosotros tin run across how Technical Strength, a proprietary quantitative mensurate of short-term trending, has weakened across the 8 S&P 500 sectors that I follow weekly. Recall that, for each sector, Technical Strength varies betwixt +500 (strong uptrend) together with -500 (strong downtrend), with values betwixt +100 together with -100 suggesting no meaning directional tendency.

As the nautical chart inwards a higher identify indicates, nosotros run across no bullish trending alongside the sectors. The defensive wellness tending sector is the exclusively i non inwards an outright downtrend. Note the meaning downtrend inwards the unloose energy sector, which is reflecting relative weakness alongside commodities. We too are seeing significant weakness alongside fiscal together with homebuilding shares, reflecting doubts regarding economical recovery. Here are how the numbers milk shiver out every bit of Friday's close:

MATERIALS: -240
INDUSTRIAL: -280
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY: -300
CONSUMER STAPLES: -240
ENERGY: -400
HEALTH CARE: +0
FINANCIAL: -360
TECHNOLOGY: -260

As long every bit the publish of 20-day lows alongside stocks is expanding together with we're seeing continued weakness inwards the Technical Strength measure, it is premature to larn bottom angling inwards stocks. That having been said, I volition hold out looking for the possibility that selling could dry out upwardly together with stocks could ultimately rest inside their May-June range, frustrating the growing contingent of bears. If that materializes, nosotros could larn a dainty intermediate-term buying chance for a rotation dorsum into that range. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 even out out deed below this by week's lows, expanding the publish of stocks registering fresh 20-day lows, would negate this make scenario.

As always, I volition hold out tracking the indicators, including the Technical Strength of my handbasket of forty stocks, via Twitter prior to marketplace position opens (follow here). An additional review of marketplace position indicators volition follow shortly.
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