If appearances were accurate guides to reality, nosotros all would brand a ton of coin inwards markets. The challenging truth of the affair is that our cognitive biases ensure that what is apparent is non ever what is existent as well as true. Often, nosotros receive got to footstep dorsum from our analyses, halt watching screens, as well as genuinely brand an effort to see. It is past times stepping dorsum that nosotros tin synthesize our observations as well as buy the farm inwards at fresh conclusions.
This is a topic I took upwards inwards the recent podcast interview alongside Andrew Swanscott of Better System Trader. He's assembled a nifty lineup of interviewees inwards his podcast serial as well as did an first-class project of preparing for the session alongside his ain questions as well as those from listeners. We tackled the topic of creativity, amid others, as well as the importance of opening the remove heed after focusing the mind.
Several traders I know engage inwards intensive nautical chart reviews prior to the trading twenty-four hours as well as week. They await at many charts at unlike fourth dimension frames, frequently non spending a huge amount of fourth dimension on each, but definitely watching inwards a highly focused solid soil to let on detail.
Initially, I was skeptical of this practice, because I'm non convinced charts, inwards as well as of themselves, receive got a nifty bargain of predictive value. Because these were consistently successful traders, however, I knew that I should accept their routines seriously. The odds were skilful that something of value was derived from the exercise.
As Ayn Rand would receive got counseled, I should receive got checked my premises. These traders weren't inwards the trace of piece of job organisation of making predictions. They were attempting to *understand* what was happening inwards markets. So what did they make from their nautical chart review?
* An thought of trending: what was moving directionally as well as what wasn't; what was breaking out as well as what was inwards a placidity range;
* An thought of context: was the recent displace business office of a larger tendency or range?
* An thought of volatility: were markets showing to a greater extent than or less displace over time?
* An thought of correlation: which markets or stocks were moving together? Which correlations were breaking down?
All of these ideas were valuable, but what was almost valuable was what came afterward. The traders set aside their charts, stepped back, as well as precisely pondered what they had observed. Many times this occurred spell taking a walk or relaxing inwards a chair. What they were doing was looking across the charts as well as finding themes as well as patterns that made feel of their observations. It was those themes as well as patterns that gave them their merchandise ideas.
Collecting as well as connecting puzzle pieces occurs inwards a unlike solid soil of mind--a unlike workflow--from seeing the film existence assembled. The deep await into things has to last followed past times a wide await across things. Stepping dorsum allows us to meet a larger picture, but if nosotros don't precede the footstep dorsum alongside intensive focus, we'll receive got no puzzle pieces to connect.
Look into the charts. Look across the charts.
Look into the data. Look across the data.
Creativity lies at the intersection of microscope as well as telescope.
Thanks over again to Swanny for the chance to portion ideas alongside traders.
Further Reading: The Role of Cognitive Style inwards Trading Success
.
This is a topic I took upwards inwards the recent podcast interview alongside Andrew Swanscott of Better System Trader. He's assembled a nifty lineup of interviewees inwards his podcast serial as well as did an first-class project of preparing for the session alongside his ain questions as well as those from listeners. We tackled the topic of creativity, amid others, as well as the importance of opening the remove heed after focusing the mind.
Several traders I know engage inwards intensive nautical chart reviews prior to the trading twenty-four hours as well as week. They await at many charts at unlike fourth dimension frames, frequently non spending a huge amount of fourth dimension on each, but definitely watching inwards a highly focused solid soil to let on detail.
Initially, I was skeptical of this practice, because I'm non convinced charts, inwards as well as of themselves, receive got a nifty bargain of predictive value. Because these were consistently successful traders, however, I knew that I should accept their routines seriously. The odds were skilful that something of value was derived from the exercise.
As Ayn Rand would receive got counseled, I should receive got checked my premises. These traders weren't inwards the trace of piece of job organisation of making predictions. They were attempting to *understand* what was happening inwards markets. So what did they make from their nautical chart review?
* An thought of trending: what was moving directionally as well as what wasn't; what was breaking out as well as what was inwards a placidity range;
* An thought of context: was the recent displace business office of a larger tendency or range?
* An thought of volatility: were markets showing to a greater extent than or less displace over time?
* An thought of correlation: which markets or stocks were moving together? Which correlations were breaking down?
All of these ideas were valuable, but what was almost valuable was what came afterward. The traders set aside their charts, stepped back, as well as precisely pondered what they had observed. Many times this occurred spell taking a walk or relaxing inwards a chair. What they were doing was looking across the charts as well as finding themes as well as patterns that made feel of their observations. It was those themes as well as patterns that gave them their merchandise ideas.
Collecting as well as connecting puzzle pieces occurs inwards a unlike solid soil of mind--a unlike workflow--from seeing the film existence assembled. The deep await into things has to last followed past times a wide await across things. Stepping dorsum allows us to meet a larger picture, but if nosotros don't precede the footstep dorsum alongside intensive focus, we'll receive got no puzzle pieces to connect.
Look into the charts. Look across the charts.
Look into the data. Look across the data.
Creativity lies at the intersection of microscope as well as telescope.
Thanks over again to Swanny for the chance to portion ideas alongside traders.
Further Reading: The Role of Cognitive Style inwards Trading Success
.
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