Showing posts sorted by relevance for query when-your-passion-becomes-your-poison. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query when-your-passion-becomes-your-poison. Sort by date Show all posts

Saturday, December 8, 2018

Info!! Distraction: The Hidden Enemy Of Proficient Trading

What if traders lady friend skillful trades together with impulsively accept bad ones, non because they are emotional, stressed, frustrated, or lacking inward discipline, only because they are likewise distracted to keep the focus needed for effective blueprint recognition?

What if your trading environs non exclusively does non convey out the best inward you, only actively distracts you lot from what you lot ask to live on focused upon?

What if *how* you lot are working is exactly what prevents you lot from achieving your potential?

Some savvy traders direct hold late pointed me to a mass called Deep Work past times Cal Newport.  The writer refers to deep run every bit professional person activities performed inward a soil of distraction-free concentration that pushes our information processing capabilities to their limit.  The of import stance hither is that nosotros ask to live on inward a heightened soil of focus to reliably formulate together with execute plans together with also to do our creative capacities to meet opportunities others are probable to miss.

It is when nosotros are inward the heightened soil of concentration that nosotros discovery our cognitive minute air current together with move into into the catamenia soil nosotros sometimes telephone telephone "the zone".  Initially, concentration is taxing.  It's slow to drib dead fatigued together with displace to other activities.  If nosotros tin sustain the focus, however, nosotros hitting that indicate of minute air current where we're capable of doing deep work.

Multiple screens.  Ongoing chats.  Talk on the trading floor.  Tracking indicators, markets, news...all of these contribute to distraction together with proceed us out of our zone.  As Newport points out, the hard truth is that nosotros direct hold to brand friends amongst boredom if nosotros are to move into together with remain inward our zones.  This is why together with then much lineament writing together with artwork is performed inward solitude. 

How much solitude produce you lot sense inward your trading?  In your life?

How deep is your work?

Perhaps the argue you're non finding chance inward your trading is because you lot are non inward the correct cognitive mode.  If you lot were to skim the surface inward all your conversations, you lot would never laid upward a meaningful relationship.  Is our human relationship amongst markets all that different?

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Info!! Trading Alongside Patience

You've no uncertainty noticed that many markets convey slowed downwards alongside the summertime trade, creating narrow daily ranges as well as footling follow-through on directional moves.  The give-and-take I nearly frequently come across inwards trading journals is "patience".  In slower markets, at that spot may solely survive occasional opportunities worth pursuing.  That agency that a good, disciplined trader is frequently non trading.

What happens during these patient periods--the times of *not* trading--plays a huge business office inwards trading success as well as failure.  The successful traders I travel alongside purpose the downwards fourth dimension to travel on generating novel ideas,building novel analytical tools, as well as reviewing their performance.  The less successful traders cannot abide patience as well as plough trading into overtrading.  They convey to convey something to do as well as thence they trade, fifty-fifty when an border is non apparent.

The best traders plough the patient periods into choice forms of stimulation.

The worst traders sense patience equally boredom as well as uncovering something to trade.

With the VIX below xi as well as my "true volatility" stair out (movement per unit of measurement of volume) at multi-month lows, I'm finding a lot of get inside ranges as well as thence simulated breakouts from those ranges.  This makes trading really hard for a momentum style.  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 value-based style--buying short-term oversold as well as selling overbought weather that intermission out of a range--has worked much better--especially when directional moves of the index are non accompanied yesteryear like moves across major sectors.  Buying forcefulness as well as selling weakness on average neglect inwards the slower environment.

In a futurity post, I'll survive reviewing Larry Connors' forthcoming mass Buy the Fear, Sell the Greed.  It's an unusually practical trading book, alongside each chapter describing a specific source of border as well as a backtested way of implementing that edge.  One of his tools is a short-term variation of the RSI stair out originally developed yesteryear Wells Wilder.  During dull marketplace times, I've been experimenting alongside the stair out to exploit the behavioral biases Larry discusses inwards the book.  Such interrogation is a swell way to plough patient times into productive ones.  

Years agone I did an experiment where I showed people a nautical chart as well as asked them to predict where the marketplace would perish from there.  The charts were identical, only one-half of the subjects saw a nautical chart alongside a squeamish dark-green upwards bar equally the nearly recent bar as well as the other one-half of subjects saw the final bar equally a practiced red, downwards bar.  Not surprisingly, those seeing the nearly recent dark-green bar expected the marketplace to ascent as well as vice versa.

It's a swell representative of recency bias.  We overweight recent experience.  In slow, depression volatility markets, at that spot is a worthwhile border inwards fading that bias.  That's a swell lesson I learned during my patient menstruum of non trading:  markets don't convey to tendency to furnish opportunity.

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