Showing posts sorted by relevance for query the-essence-of-trading-process. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query the-essence-of-trading-process. Sort by date Show all posts

Monday, February 25, 2019

Info!! Honing Your Trading Procedure - Utilisation One

We frequently necessitate heed of the importance of having a "trading process".  But what goes into such a physical care for in addition to what is it therefore of import to hold out process-driven?  This two-part serial volition offering perspectives.

In such fields every bit manufacturing in addition to wellness care, a physical care for orientation is essential to lineament control.  Surgeons, for example, piece of job nether the guidelines of best utilization routines to cut down complications in addition to maximize outcomes.  Reliance upon a criterion gear upwardly of procedures reduces the variability of outcomes.

When Margie in addition to I visited the Two Roads brewery inward Stratford, CT, nosotros were surprised to encounter how few people were involved inward the brewing process.  Almost everything was computerized in addition to automated.  This automation ensured that each pace of the brewing occurred at just the correct temperature, for just the correct total of time, amongst just the correct total of ingredients.  Once the brewer has the desired recipe, the cardinal to successful production is standardization:  making the same fantabulous production every unmarried time.

From a lineament command advantage point, replacing subjectivity amongst objectivity is to a greater extent than frequently than non a desirable outcome.  The skillful chef tin instruct away amongst estimating ingredients past times adding "a pinch here", simply most of us are non experts.  If a machine tin add together the precise pinch, a potential origin of mistake is removed.

In an action such every bit trading, where emotions inward the oestrus of battle tin innovate wild elements of subjectivity, a physical care for orientation is essential to success.  Algorithmic trading is the Two Roads version of coin management, where every determination is precalculated in addition to automated.  Yet fifty-fifty discretionary trading tin hold out made rule-governed in addition to process-guided.  An analogy would hold out playing poker or chess:  at that spot are rules for making goodness in addition to bad bets in addition to goodness or bad moves on the board, fifty-fifty every bit at that spot is considerable room for private judgment.  Similarly, a football game quarterback may telephone holler upwardly an audible at the trouble of scrimmage to get got payoff of a defensive alignment, simply the play called volition get got been pre-structured in addition to good rehearsed.

The areas of trading that tin typically hold out made to a greater extent than process-driven include:

1)  Research in addition to thought generation:  Procedures for coming upwardly amongst goodness merchandise ideas in addition to investment theses;

2)  Trade expression:  How to construction the merchandise to laissez passer optimal payoff to risk;

3)  Risk management:  How to bet plenty on the thought to laissez passer a desired provide on capital, simply too to avoid an undesired drawdown;

4)  Trade management:  How to grip the seat ane time it is on, including points to terminal out, scale in, scale out, in addition to get got profits;

5)  Portfolio management:  How to allocate upper-case missive of the alphabet across trades to diversify returns in addition to optimize equity curves;

6)  Self-management:  Procedures you lot implement to proceed yourself inward an optimal terra firma for recognizing opportunity/threat in addition to making decisions nether fourth dimension in addition to emotional pressure.

Each of these areas tin hold out mapped out in addition to distilled into principles in addition to checklists.  The checklist for an equity long/short investor volition necessarily differ from that of the daytrader, simply the categories volition hold out similar.

If you lot are a process-driven trader, you lot tin write a substantial essay for each ane of those categories.  Indeed, if you lot were seeking upper-case missive of the alphabet for your trading, questions near each of the vi categories above, along amongst detailed examples, would anchor an effective interview.

If your essay or interview responses would consist of a few sentences of generalizations, you lot know that your processes tin hold out elaborated in addition to tightened up.  Ultimately, your responses to the inward a higher house should map to a distinctive in addition to demonstrable border inward the marketplace. 

The destination is to figure out your best trading in addition to and then aid you lot instruct every bit consistent every bit possible inward enacting what you lot create best.  Your physical care for should hold out the distilled essence in addition to procedural facial expression of your greatest strengths.

In the adjacent postal service inward this series, we'll get got a await at how you lot tin elaborate your processes in addition to brand them to a greater extent than robust.

Further Reading:  Reflections on Trading Process
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Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Info!! The Unmarried Nearly Of Import Trait Of Successful Traders

Great to come across that the novel volume volition last coming out on the 28th of this month.  I titled it Trading Psychology 2.0, because I wanted to update the touchstone version of trading psychology, which I notice increasingly limited.

Traditional trading psychology has begun amongst an of import laid of premises:  Human beings procedure information emotionally in addition to frequently non-rationally inwards the facial expression upwardly of risk, reward, in addition to uncertainty.  These information processing biases Pb to piteous trading decisions.  The natural conclusion that follows from these assumptions is that successful trading requires emotional control, self-discipline, in addition to adherence to a grounded process.

I don't dispute the higher upwardly at all.  My work is that, over the years, I take away hold met amongst a release of really emotionally controlled, disciplined, in addition to process-focused traders who take away hold non been able to brand money.  Mastering cognitive biases is necessary for success inwards markets, but I flora it's non sufficient.

What I'm calling the 2.0 version of trading psychology begins amongst a dissimilar laid of premises:  markets are ever-changing, such that patterns in addition to relationships that yield profits inwards i fourth dimension menstruum (regime) may last spectacularly unsuccessful inwards another.  H5N1 practiced instance from recent fiscal history has been the touching on of quantitative easing on the trading of stocks.  QE resulted inwards a crushing of volatility inwards stocks in addition to a transfer of flows from lower-yielding bonds to stocks that possess both yield in addition to the prospect of higher returns.  When the destination of QE in addition to possibility of involvement charge per unit of measurement normalization comes to the fore (think taper tantrum in addition to the recent prospect of a Fed hike), stocks take away hold traded amongst far greater volatility in addition to risk-off bias.

What has made recent trading challenging is that the stock marketplace is non behaving inwards anything similar the means it behaved for much of the by 2 years.  We come across higher volatility in addition to potent selling flows.  For all intents in addition to purposes, the trader who trades stocks at i time in addition to inwards the root one-half of 2015 powerfulness equally good last trading dissimilar property classes.  

As long-time readers are aware, I prepare non-linear regression models of short-term returns inwards SPX.  Typically these models predict returns over a 3-5 hateful solar daytime horizon.  The recent model I built covers marketplace periods displaying a medium degree of volatility; the prior model covered marketplace periods amongst depression volatility.  The variables inwards the models are only different, in addition to they take away hold dissimilar predictive power.  One of import departure is that short-term pull in addition to weakness is to a greater extent than probable to contrary inwards the higher vol regime; to a greater extent than probable to present near-term continuation inwards the depression vol, QE period.

Now if a trader starts amongst the traditional laid of assumptions in addition to strictly adheres to a item process, that trader volition larn torched when markets alter from choppy, depression volatility attain motion to high volatility decline.  If dependent area is defined equally sticking to a item laid of rules in addition to practices, thence dependent area eventually sows the seeds for a failure of adaptation.  The trader who used to brand consistent coin in addition to at i time cannot succeed has non all of a abrupt morphed into an emotional handbasket instance or a massively biased thinker.  Rather, that trader has failed to adjust to a changing laid of marketplace conditions.  It is frequently a trader's virtues--consistency in addition to discipline--and non vices that do losses during periods of marketplace flux.

This is why the unmarried most of import trait of traders who attain career success is adaptability.  Adaptability does require dependent area in addition to self-control, but importantly it likewise requires self-awareness, marketplace awareness, creativity, in addition to flexibility.  Companies continued to churn out personal computers when laptops gained traction.  Companies continued to emphasize laptops when tablets became popular.  There volition last companies pushing tablets when wearable computing devices top away the rage.  All of those companies had fine processes in addition to disciplined execution.  They but failed to adjust to changing markets.

Do stocks merchandise amongst higher or lower correlation to i another?  Is that correlation waxing or waning?  Are nosotros trading amongst higher or lower volume in addition to volatility?  Is volume in addition to volatility waxing or waning?  Do nosotros present bear witness of trending/momentum or reversal on brusque fourth dimension frames?  Longer fourth dimension frames?  Do nosotros come across signs of weakening breadth or strengthening breadth equally nosotros brand successive cost highs or lows?  Which sectors of the marketplace are leading performance?  Lagging?  Is leadership stable or changing?  How are stocks correlated amongst other property classes?  Is that correlation changing recently?  What do those cross-asset correlations in addition to patterns of leadership say us almost the U.S.A. economy?  The global economy?  How are nosotros responding to economical information releases in addition to marketplace movements overseas?  Is that designing of reply changing?  What are those patterns of reply telling us?

When yous inquire those questions, yous accept the root measuring toward developing meta-processes:  processes for adapting your best practices to changing marketplace conditions.  Trading is *not* similar poker, chess, or athletics: the rules inwards typical games of science do non alter from i contest to another.  Trading is similar business.  The concern marketplace never stays still.  Success is non almost finding a magic formula in addition to slavishly adhering to it.  It's almost staying flexible in addition to finding novel formulas nether evolving conditions.  The faster the stride of change, the to a greater extent than inventiveness becomes the essence of discipline.

Further Reading:  Why You Should Keep H5N1 Journal
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Saturday, January 12, 2019

Info!! 3 Questions To Inquire Close Your Trading

I lately wrote the post service on 3 questions to enquire close whatsoever market.  That has turned out to hold out the most pop post service to ever, which says something given 10+ years of the blog's existence.  My feel is that people recognize that at that spot is much to a greater extent than to agreement markets than trading off the latest headlines or nautical chart patterns.  The "three questions" post service is an endeavour to distill markets to their essence too supply a framework for thinking the meaning of marketplace behavior.

Similarly, people recognize that at that spot is much to a greater extent than to trading psychology than keeping their heads on straight.  The 3 questions to enquire close whatsoever marketplace follow from a center recognition:  that markets correspond auction processes.  Once y'all focus on marketplace deportment every bit the upshot of bidding too offering inwards a existent fourth dimension auction process, y'all tin enquire those 3 relevant questions.

The 3 questions to enquire close your trading also follow from a center recognition:  trading is a creative process.  Just every bit an entrepreneur succeeds past times creating novel goods too services or past times delivering goods too services inwards novel ways, the trader succeeds past times discovering too exploiting fresh opportunity.  Show me a trader who has made coin consistently too I'll exhibit y'all someone who displays uniqueness inwards their viewing too doing.  Once y'all recognize trading every bit a fundamentally creative, entrepreneurial activity, the questions to enquire close your trading follow naturally:

1)  Am I looking at novel information inwards novel ways? - You don't mine for gilt where everyone has been searching or, if y'all do, y'all piece of work novel tools that assistance y'all dig deeper too sift better.  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 wise portfolio director lately explained his success past times citing the importance of exploiting "hard to instruct data".  That's where the genuinely novel information--and the possible futurity sources of edge--lie.  For example, inwards a lately developed routine, I intermission the day's activeness inwards ES into bars that correspond a given number of trades.  It's quite mutual for a unmarried twenty-four hr menses to intermission downwards into 500-1000 bars, depending upon the bird of marketplace activity.  I therefore hold off at the volatility of each bar too the grade to which expansions of volatility upshot inwards directional cost movement.  It turns out that expansions of microvolatility that convey a directional bias precede short-term marketplace trends.  The novel information is capturing the deportment of large marketplace players who convey to instruct into their positions over fourth dimension because of their size.  If y'all tin recognize this procedure early, y'all tin ride their waves.  New information leads to new, promising trading.

2)  Am I synthesizing marketplace information, non only analyzing it? - Analysis gives us the pieces of the puzzle, but it's a perceptual synthesis that helps us seat what the puzzle represents.  Without that synthesis, nosotros can't get together the puzzle; it makes no feel to us.  Synthesis is sense-making; it's taking information from multiple sources too assembling it into a coherent marketplace picture.  Perhaps nosotros encounter a possible tendency starting per the give-and-take of microvolatility above.  At the same time, nosotros notice that i sector of the marketplace is breaking out to the upside too other run a peril assets are firming, despite a seemingly bearish information free before inwards the session.  Putting those pieces together, nosotros recognize that the path of to the lowest degree resistance is to the upside too nosotros build a solid risk/reward entry.  Too oft nosotros instruct lost inwards the weeds too overreact to unmarried pieces of data.  Our noses are therefore stuck inwards the screens that nosotros don't describe dorsum to encounter the broader context of what's going on inwards markets.  Successful traders operate amongst microscopes too telescopes, developing ideas that synthesize the here-and-now amongst larger marketplace patterns.

3)  Do I flexibly accommodate my trading style? - Traders oft insist that they succeed past times finding a trading manner that fits their personality too faithfully sticking to that style.  I've come upward to recognize the limitations of this view.  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 field agone I gave the event of the radio station possessor who played music he believed to hold out "good music".  The occupation was that musical tastes were changing too people did non desire to psyche to the music he believed to hold out good.  Rather than accommodate to consumer needs, he stuck amongst his manner too drove the concern into the ground.  Creativity agency that nosotros flexibly accommodate to changing conditions.  We don't insist that markets follow our predilections.  When I adopted cycles every bit my unit of measurement of marketplace analysis, issues of "trend trading" vs. "mean reversion trading" became moot.  At certain, early on portions of a cycle, y'all merchandise the momentum.  At other points, y'all fade directional moves.  When cycles are higher frequency, y'all merchandise inwards too out to a greater extent than opportunistically.  When lower frequency cycles dominate, y'all tin conduct to a greater extent than similar an investor.  The marketplace plays the music.  How y'all trip the low-cal fantastic depends on the music existence played.

Too many traders approach their arts and crafts every bit if they're managing a manufacturing process.  They don't recognize that they are also managing a creative enterprise.  How y'all deal an assembly occupation making widgets is unlike from how y'all deal a pic studio.  It's groovy to instruct to a greater extent than consistent past times introducing procedure command too staying procedure driven--but non if the rigidity of procedure becomes a straitjacket that limits the creative essence of managing our capital.

Further Reading:  Creativity, Research, too Development
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Tuesday, January 15, 2019

Info!! Solving Your Trading Problems Yesteryear Finding Your Trading Solutions

In a recent weblog for Forbes, I described the essence of a solution-focused approach to trading:  studying your ain successes.  As da Vinci's quote suggests, it's non exactly dry, academic study, but report alongside desire:  the wish to know what makes yous the best yous tin post away be.

Here's an interesting observation:  

When I enquire traders to tell me what they do incorrect inward their trading to brand them lose money, most tin post away cite a diversity of mistakes they make.  They verbalise almost chasing trades together with getting inward at bad levels; they depict sizing positions likewise large or small; etc.  When I enquire traders to tell me what they do best inward their trading that leads them to brand money, most offering vague generalizations or simply state that they don't brand the losing mistakes.

Even to a greater extent than to the point, if I enquire most traders to map out a detailed catamenia nautical chart of their best trading, starting alongside the gathering of data together with generation of ideas to the structuring of trades, management of risk, together with the trader's ain self-management, inward the vast bulk of cases it would last a hard task.  The effect would last a lean catamenia chart. 

Now imagine that I hand that same exercise to an executive at a successful company.  You tin post away residuum assured that at that topographic point would last no occupation generating a catamenia nautical chart describing how raw materials are assembled into a product; how the production is packaged together with delivered; how the production is marketed; how sales are tracked; how production changes are made; etc.  

The idiot trader has no feel of process.  It's all topographic point of the pants together with randomness.  The enlightened idiot trader talks almost "following my process", but cannot arrive at a detailed catamenia nautical chart of what they do together with why they do it.  That is because, for the enlightened idiot, procedure is only a code discussion for engaging inward exactly about full general routines.

Successful businesses don't "follow their process."  Successful businesses empathise that they take away hold many interlocking processes, together with their lineament management tracks both those processes together with their successful coordination.  

An of import question:  If yous started a describe of piece of work organization inward your community together with managed it alongside the same rigor every bit yous apply to your trading, how successful would that describe of piece of work organization be?   

Consider the proficient baseball game pitcher watching game films.  He volition focus on the mechanics of each stage of his delivery.  He volition report his pitch alternative together with the execution of each form of pitch.  He volition examine his pitching accuracy together with the factors responsible for achieving goodness together with hapless location.  He volition report the best agency of pitching to specific batters together with exploiting their weaknesses together with avoiding their strengths.  That is report alongside desire:  the wish to dig together with dig together with dig together with empathise the drivers of superlative performance.

The idiot trader keeps no mag together with has no construction to his or her reflection.  The enlightened idiot trader keeps a mag together with writes downwards all of his or her mistakes together with frustrations, but never transforms those observations into concrete goals, plans, together with commitments for change.  An proficient describe of piece of work organization knows its best practices, turns those into robust processes, together with tracks them religiously.  

As the Forbes article emphasizes, an exclusive focus on what yous do incorrect will, over time, assistance yous internalize the identity of a wrongdoer.  In studying your successes together with turning those into solutions that anchor best practices, yous reinforce an inner feel of achievement.  There are no lifetime accomplishments that do non start out alongside daily achievements.  Many, many times the answers to our trading problems prevarication inward what we're doing when those problems are non occurring.  The start pace inward becoming a improve trader is agreement how nosotros currently merchandise when nosotros merchandise at our best.

Further Reading:  Solution-Focused Performance
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Saturday, February 23, 2019

Info!! The 4 Pillars Of Trading Process

We usually withdraw heed that traders should prepare together with stick to "a process".  But what is a trading process?  I would debate that, across trading styles together with fourth dimension horizons, at that topographic point are 4 components essential to whatever consummate trading process:

1)  Preparing - What you lot produce to seat together with exploit chance inwards markets, including observation, research, thought testing, merchandise structuring, portfolio construction, together with merchandise planning.

2)  Performing - What you lot produce to initiate together with create out positions inwards the market, including sizing, run a endangerment management, entry together with acquire out execution, together with adjusting to the ongoing stream of news, information releases, together with marketplace movements.

3)  Reviewing - What you lot produce to examine private trades together with overall trading to larn from successes together with mistakes together with to reexamine ideas almost markets.

4)  Revamping - What you lot produce to interpret your reviews into concrete goals together with actions that brand you lot to a greater extent than prepared together with aid your time to come performance.  

Together, these procedure elements embody a variety of deliberate do that yields ever-expanding expertise.

As the Buffett quote higher upwards implies, when a trader develops intrinsic gratification from processes of regain together with mastery, it is much easier to weather condition the ups together with downs of short-term performance.

The most mutual shortcoming I run into amid traders is non that they allow their emotions run away from them together with lose their discipline.  Rather, they truncate the tertiary together with 4th elements higher upwards together with pass almost all their fourth dimension preparing together with performing.  As a result, they rarely comport the thorough reviews that Pb to ongoing learning--and they fifty-fifty to a greater extent than rarely interpret whatever cursory reviews into systematic efforts at self-improvement.  

Preparing together with performing demand immersion inwards markets.  Reviewing together with revamping demand a pace away from markets to reverberate upon grooming together with performance.  Joined together, the procedure elements yield a feel of growth, development, together with ongoing adaptation to changing markets.

When success is measured inwards damage of mastery, 1 tin give notice net handsomely fifty-fifty during periods of trading loss.  That is an of import trading edge.

Further Reading:  The Essence of Trading Process
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Monday, February 17, 2020

Info!! Coaching Your Trading: Twitter, Determination Support, As Well As Trading Reviews

a recent post, I proposed the afterward activity review equally a useful tool for coaching traders. If nosotros were to comport a review of yesterday's trading, 1 of import focus would hold upwards how traders traded the early on forenoon part of the session.

Let's accept a await at a few of the Twitter posts from that AM:

6:26 AM CT- Note 3 24-hour interval hit inwards ES; SPY targets: pin = 68.49; R1 = 70.55; R2 = 71.24; R3 = 71.93; S1 = 66.42; S2 = 65.73; S3 = 65.04.

8:42 AM CT - Watching TICK, financials to encounter if nosotros sustain motility inwards a higher house yesterday high inwards ES for R1 target or if nosotros revert to pivot.

8:53 AM CT - We hitting R1, equally TICK has stayed quite positive on whatever pullbacks. Need *significant* selling (neg TICK) to upshot a reversal.

The offset "tweet" emphasized the context of morning's trade: nosotros were inwards a three-day range. Right away, you lot desire to entertain 2 hypotheses if nosotros encounter early on buying: whatever marketplace forcefulness volition popular off out too we'll revert to the hateful of the range; or buying volition attract farther involvement too we'll sustain a breakout from the range.

This is where the targets are rattling helpful. Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 reversion into the range, gives us a cost target at the marketplace pivot. An upside intermission out of that hit targets the R1, R2, too R3 cost levels. What nosotros require to produce inwards the market's opening minutes is handicap the odds of 1 of those moves if nosotros opened upwards close the superlative of the range.

By the 2d Twitter post above, we've already broken inwards a higher house the range. The post tells us that fiscal stocks are leading the accuse (that has been a leading sector inwards recent sessions) too that NYSE TICK is telephone substitution to sustaining the breakout. After all, if the breakout is genuine, nosotros should encounter many to a greater extent than stocks transacting on upticks than downticks.

By 8:53 AM, we've already hitting R1, equally TICK has stayed quite positive. The Twitter post observes that nosotros require to encounter *significant* selling to contrary this powerful breakout move. Recall from previous inquiry on the weblog that TICK readings are non meaning unless they plow over +800 or autumn below -800. To that point, nosotros didn't fifty-fifty acquire a unmarried -500 reading.

Let's straight off add together a few other items to the mix that tin assist you lot position upside breakout days. The dark-green line of piece of work is a 20-period VWAP line; discovery that volume-weighted average cost is rising too the ES futures are soaring inwards early on merchandise inwards a higher house their line. That is a sign of a trending move: cost stays inwards a higher house VWAP too VWAP is rising.

Second, discovery that the marketplace opened amongst several big dark-green bars: cost was moving (high volatility) too cost was moving higher. This is the essence of the Power Measure that I described inwards the previous post. When directionality too volatility are inwards sync, nosotros withdraw keep a trending move.

Finally, Federal Reserve annotation the expanded book on the rise. Indeed, the book inwards the offset 3 v infinitesimal periods of the ES futures was nigh 200,000 contracts, some the average book (243,447) for the typical opening *30* infinitesimal period. (Relative book norms are posted inwards my weekly indicator reviews).

Now, here's the of import psychological part. Many traders who don't merchandise the initial breakout motility volition fret that they missed the motility too volition convince themselves that they don't desire to "chase the market". So they sit down in that location amongst a sure business office of their anatomy inwards their hands too spotter the marketplace proceed higher.

Two problems amongst that sort of thinking: First, it is backward looking. Instead of focusing on a motility that you lot *didn't* trade, you lot desire to hold upwards looking for where the side yesteryear side merchandise would hold upwards coming from. That is what those cost targets from the offset Twitter post inwards a higher house are for: if you lot immature adult woman the intermission inwards a higher house the previous day's high, hence you lot hold back for a pullback inwards TICK too play for a motility to R1. If you lot immature adult woman the motility to R1, you lot hold back for a pullback inwards TICK too become for R2. As long equally volume, volatility, too TICK are on your side, you lot desire to merchandise amongst the trend.

Which gets us to the 2d occupation amongst the "I don't desire to chase" run a jeopardy aversion: it fails to position what is happening inwards the marketplace. In a hit market, you lot for sure don't desire to merchandise momentum too purchase forcefulness or sell weakness. But if you lot withdraw keep transitioned to a trending market, you lot desire to ride forcefulness or weakness. The trader who doesn't desire to chase is locked inwards the previous, hit leap mindset. The whole run of looking at indicators such equally volume, volatility, TICK, ranges, too targets is to update your thinking hence that you lot tin revise your trading tactics.

I believe this illustrates some of the coaching potential of the Twitter application: existent fourth dimension marketplace observations assistance conclusion support. On days inwards which I'm non on the route working amongst traders too portfolio managers, I volition usage Twitter to assist you lot (and me) frame trading ideas too hypotheses. (Subscription to Twitter feed is gratuitous via RSS). Then, afterward the forenoon or day's trading, you lot tin comport an afterward activity review to encounter what you lot caught too what you lot missed. Such a process, 24-hour interval afterward day, is what tin accelerate a learning bend too plow marketplace hindsight into foresight.
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Saturday, February 9, 2019

Info!! Managing Your Unloose Energy For Superlative Productivity

Shout out to Terry together with WindoTrader for the ship on effectively managing your TEAM (Time, Energy, And Money).  The ship points to a employment I've noticed inwards many contexts:  traders who are together with then busy next together with trading markets that they neglect to create create the personal resources essential to their longer-term success.

This is peculiarly problematic inwards the representative of non effectively managing one's liberate energy level.   There are several forms of positive sense that get upward productivity together with creativity:  happiness, life satisfaction, energy, together with affection.  When nosotros deplete our energy, it is to a greater extent than hard to sustain the activities that generate the other forms of positivity.  For that reason, a depression liberate energy bird most ofttimes manifests itself inwards depression positive experience, creating a downward spiral--decreasing energy, decreasing positivity--that impacts mood together with behavior, together with ultimately productivity together with audio decision-making.  

How ofttimes create traders neglect to follow their plans together with deed on their ideas only because they are at low levels of willpower due to depleted energy?

Of course of written report nosotros tin reach the sack lose liberate energy due to lack of sleep, overwork, lack of exercise, together with miserable eating.  H5N1 to a greater extent than subtle but important loss of liberate energy occurs when nosotros neglect to tap into our essence strengths together with values during our daily activities.  Activities that nosotros sense equally *meaningful* reach us energy; activities that bang us equally meaningless sap our strength.  Digging a ditch for no role whatsoever would hold out physically together with emotionally draining.  If, however, nosotros knew that earthworks the ditch inwards a sure enough sum of fourth dimension would Pb to a real large payday, nosotros would notice the motivation to larn the travel done on time.

Similarly, when nosotros play to our strengths, nosotros sense activities equally affirming.  The exercise of signature skills is intrinsically rewarding:  nosotros notice enhancement inwards doing what nosotros create best.  When nosotros larn away from our strengths, endeavour becomes exactly that:  project amongst picayune psychological reward.  I volition larn upward at four inwards the morning time to analyze a information laid upward that helps me meliorate sympathise the market; the intellectual curiosity is energizing.  If I had to larn upward at that fourth dimension to create household chores, I would notice it hard indeed to remain awake.

An of import implication of this perspective is that your liberate energy bird inwards researching together with trading markets is a reflection of the grade to which you lot are meaningfully engaged together with challenged.  If you lot attempt out to procedure information inwards a agency that is non your strength--forcing yourself to read, for example, when you lot procedure textile much meliorate yesteryear hearing together with discussing it--the endeavour volition hold out taxing rather than energizing.  That, inwards turn, tin reach the sack Pb to those willpower-based lapses inwards concentration together with other seeming problems of "discipline".  The number is non discipline, per se; it's i of leveraging essence skills, interests, together with values.

A spell ago, I wrote nearly the essence components of a trading process.  At a science level, a trading procedure aligns us amongst best practices:  what nosotros create good inwards markets.  At a purely psychological level, a trading procedure aligns us amongst our strengths together with values.  In that respect, procedure becomes our liberate energy regulator:  it allows us to renew our liberate energy reserves yesteryear channeling our efforts toward ends that are meaningful together with intrinsically rewarding.  H5N1 adept procedure does to a greater extent than than create create energy:  it digs novel wells together with increases our reserves.

Further Reading:  The Laws of Psychological Energy
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Saturday, January 12, 2019

Info!! V Keys To A Tiptop Functioning Mindset

What is the correct mindset for best trading?  Here are 5 ideas, drawn from successful traders I've known too admired:

1)  An opened upwardly mindset - Traders succeed when they come across things that others don't.  Sometimes those are overarching themes too trends; sometimes they are short-term patterns inwards marketplace position behavior.  To come across things differently, nosotros require a heed that is opened upwardly to novel too dissimilar data too opened upwardly to shifts inwards marketplace position behavior.  

2)  H5N1 tranquillity mindset - Minds filled amongst vibrations can't procedure novel information.  When we're focused on ourselves too our profits/losses, we're no longer focused on markets.  We can't practise self-control inwards our actions if nosotros are non able to sustain command over our consider processes.

3)  H5N1 constructive mindset - Losses happen.  We immature lady opportunities.  The neat trader learns from mistakes too embraces the lessons from drawdowns.  If every twenty-four hours brings wins from trading or wins from learning, at that topographic point is ever something of value to survive taken from each day.

4)  H5N1 positive mindset - It's because nosotros cannot count upon our profits too losses to brand us happy that nosotros require to atomic number 82 a fulfilling life exterior of trading.  H5N1 life that is filled amongst meaningful activities, fun activities, activities that convey us about others, too activities that laissez passer us issue energy is virtually probable to render us amongst the emotional fuel needed to ability through challenging marketplace position times.

5)  An activity mindset - All the best ideas too intentions volition become us nowhere if nosotros aren't prepared to deed upon them.  The activity mindset is i focused on plans, translating first-class ideas into first-class risk/reward opportunities.  Preparation is idea-focused, merely too execution-focused.  It is equally of import to run on our implementation of ideas equally our generation of them.

The higher upwardly criteria shape a useful checklist for making certain you're inwards peak functioning mode.  The correct mindset won't, inwards itself, convey profits, merely the incorrect mindset tin ensure losses.  At the destination of the day, trading requires science inwards the processing of information.  When nosotros run on our mindset, nosotros drib dead along our data processing engine well-tuned.

Further Reading:  The Essence of a Trading Process
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Saturday, February 9, 2019

Info!! Discovering Your Trading Psychology Alongside Your Trading Metrics

We ofttimes focus on how our psychology tin flame influence our trading.  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 dissimilar perspective is to job your trading to illuminate your psychology.  One of my favorite exercises amongst active discretionary traders is to accept their daily P/L numbers in addition to process them equally a fiscal fourth dimension series.  In essence, I'm developing a trading system, where the organisation is trading the trader!  

Very often, in that location are repeatable patterns inwards the profits in addition to losses of traders that could Pb an observer to know when to become long that trader in addition to when to fade them.  In some cases, I conduct keep helped hit alerts for traders that popular upward on the covert when they are at a signal where they typically conduct keep lost coin inwards their P/L cycles.  It's a dissimilar agency of edifice mindfulness close our patterns, in addition to hence that nosotros tin flame command them rather than conduct keep them command us.

So what are the most mutual patterns that seem during such analyses?  Three right away come upward to mind:

1)  Losing coin on one's largest risk-taking - We all know that we're supposed to accept our largest positions when we're most confident inwards our views, precisely that logic doesn't operate for all traders.  Often, traders volition accept their largest positions subsequently they've had a winning streak.  Now they're playing amongst draw solid money.  Confidence begets overconfidence.  Once the seat sizing is largest, perchance the marketplace seat moves are most extended.  Losing on your biggest bets is a swell agency to undo many gains amongst 1 or 2 large losses--not at all practiced for the psyche.  Before you lot assume that you lot should bet larger when you lot conduct keep your greatest conviction, analyze your P/L equally a job of your risk-taking.  If your biggest bets don't conduct keep your greatest striking rate, is your confidence generating information?

2)  Losing coin during placidity marketplace seat periods - One analysis I similar for stock marketplace seat traders is to pause P/L downwardly yesteryear VIX periods.  How does the trader perform when markets are most in addition to to the lowest degree volatile?  How good does the trader transition from higher to lower volatility periods in addition to vice versa?  For daytraders, how does the trader perform during midday hours vs. early on mornings in addition to slow afternoons?  During placidity periods amongst narrow ranges, does the trader brand to a greater extent than trades or fewer?  It's non uncommon to run into risk-prudent traders larn by when volatility rises in addition to aggressive traders larn by when volatility is crushed.  

3)  Losing coin amongst practiced marketplace seat views - This 1 is a niggling to a greater extent than challenging to analyze, precisely rattling worthwhile.  What happens to traders' positions *after* they croak their trades--particularly subsequently losing trades?  Very often, traders conduct keep a right marketplace seat persuasion in addition to withal deal to lose money.  By placing stops likewise roughly entries in addition to yesteryear adding to positions when moves conduct keep already extended, traders generate practiced ideas precisely execute in addition to deal them poorly.  Influenza A virus subtype H5N1 mutual variant of this job is placing net income targets likewise far away during lower volatility markets.  Trades outset out inwards the coin in addition to halt upward scratching or amongst losses--a frustrating sense to endure sure.  Sometimes nosotros run into traders taking profits inwards trades that ofttimes ultimately extend far to a greater extent than inwards subsequent hours in addition to days.  That occurs when ideas are generated on 1 fourth dimension frame of analysis, precisely managed (for psychological reasons) on another, leaving enough of coin on the table.

Our trading results are a swell agency of studying ourselves.  If nosotros are operating amongst cognitive biases and/or emotional disruptions, these volition inevitably break facial expression inwards our P/L stream.  Because nosotros are non ever objective observers of ourselves, it helps to become to the objective information of our trading to break a mirror into our psyches.

Further Reading:  Metrics for Active Traders
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Saturday, January 12, 2019

Info!! Succeeding Equally Your Ain Trading Coach

Landry's quote is a dandy one.  What it genuinely says is that reaching our potential agency that nosotros accept to facial expression upward uncomfortable truths.  If what made us comfortable was what made us great, everyone would hold out a super achiever.  Sadly, that's non the case.

I late gave a verbalize to a grouping of traders in addition to interrupted the presentation to inquire each somebody to tell the grouping the most exciting sentiment they had come upward across late in addition to how they were incorporating that sentiment into their trading.  

The quiet was deafening.  When a few ideas did come upward out, they were rattling full general ideas nearly performance--nothing specific to markets.  That told me everything I needed to know.  These were marketplace participants who were non hearing what they didn't desire to listen in addition to seeing what they didn't desire to see.  They were inwards their comfort zones.  They were static.  They were inwards the procedure of beingness left behind yesteryear evolving markets.

I'm writing from Oslo, Norway.  I woke upward concluding black alongside an unsettling thought.  What if the entire narrative approach to markets--turning information (fundamental, geopolitical, technical) into a directional, narrative thesis for trading--no longer works?  It's non exactly that markets response to dissimilar narratives.  It's that markets accept give-up the ghost sufficiently complex that elementary narratives cannot capture the meaning patterns that are present.  For example, nosotros tin predict the likelihood that a fuzzy photographic tv camera ikon of a somebody genuinely *is* that person, but narratives accept nix to produce alongside the predictive process.

This sort of matter happens whenever nosotros move to remote locations.  Getting away from routine helps get novel thoughts, oftentimes uncomfortable ones.  I accept no f***ing clue equally to whether the death-of-narrative sentiment holds water, but I'm quite certain I'll dig upward a platform for investigating complexity inwards marketplace demeanour in addition to run across if in that location are patterns exterior of elementary interactions of variables amenable to storytelling.  

I've described the coaching procedure equally comforting the afflicted in addition to afflicting the comfortable.  Both force us exterior the states we're inwards to run across dissimilar realities.  The most successful traders accept internalized that coaching that process.  Coaching is non only something they hire; it's something they actively do.  Seeing novel things, holler for novel questions, learning novel skills--pushing, pushing to hold out to a greater extent than than yous are at present.  That's the essence of a truthful competitor.

Further Reading:  Every Great Trader is a Player-Coach
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Friday, October 4, 2019

Info!! Play Earlier Y'all Work: A Fundamental Meridian Functioning Principle

The recent postal service on the essence of greatness highlighted the importance of immersion inwards the learning procedure to maximize the benefits of structured practice. What nosotros abide by amid those on a trajectory to perish elite performers is that they non exclusively function hard; they perish fully absorbed inwards their learning because they abide by it in addition to thence intrinsically fascinating in addition to challenging.

If nosotros expect across functioning fields, nosotros abide by a mutual developmental course: earlier goodness performers brand their livings from their work, they undergo a lengthy menses of science development. We come across this amid athletes, surgeons, chess champions, in addition to performing artists. Before they start their formal careers, they bring spent extended periods inwards a learning process, ofttimes nether mentorship.

In the trading arena, it is mutual to come across preparation programs lasting a few weeks to months prior to attempts to brand a living from functioning inwards the markets. It's non surprising that a sizable proportion of students inwards such programs create non succeed. The demands of making a living from trading brusk circuit the natural immersion of the elite learner. Equally problematic, the brief nature of the preparation to a greater extent than ofttimes than non agency that data is substituted for sustained skills building. It is i matter to acquire close markets in addition to setups; quite roughly other to merchandise them successfully.

When seeking preparation every bit a trader, it is of import to position the actual skills-building activities--and the sequencing of those activities--that volition back upwards an accelerated learning curve. Performers acquire yesteryear performing, in addition to they acquire yesteryear receiving regular feedback from their performances. There is in addition to thence much to a greater extent than to preparation than absorbing data from speakers; earlier y'all pursue expensive education, brand certain that the curriculum is i that tin flame sustain your absorbed involvement in addition to efforts. Elite performers cultivate their skills because their evolution feels to a greater extent than similar challenging play than difficult work.

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