My recent post described how weekly cost targets for the S&P 500 Index tin give the sack endure used to frame swing merchandise ideas. Here nosotros widen the fourth dimension frame fifty-fifty farther in addition to accept a aspect at the cost targets for Jan derived from Dec cost information in addition to adjusted for recent volatility. The pivot, R1, in addition to S1 levels are drawn every bit blueish horizontal lines. Note how nosotros tested R1 really early on inwards the month, but could non sustain a deed to R2 (which was at 95.27). The full general dominion is that such a failure targets a deed dorsum to the pin degree and, if that cannot hold, downward to S1.
You tin give the sack run into how nosotros did indeed render to the S1 percentage but lead keep since bounced higher. The telephone commutation for traders straight off is to handicap the odds of returning to the pin degree vs. continuing the downmove to S1 in addition to fifty-fifty S2 (which is at 79.02). The day-to-day strengthening or weakening of the marketplace indicators (new highs/lows, Cumulative TICK, etc.) furnish us amongst show for handicapping those odds in addition to framing trades accordingly. Should nosotros run into an inability to accept out Friday's high inwards Tuesday's trade, along amongst weakness inwards NYSE TICK, for example, I would await a examine of S1 in addition to would endure selling the S&P accordingly.
I volition post the monthly pivot/target numbers to Twitter afterward today. Once again, the final 5 Twitter posts look on the spider web log page nether "Twitter Trader". The total listing tin give the sack endure establish on my Twitter page, where yous tin give the sack every bit good register for costless subscription via RSS.
On a related note, I talked at length amongst Trevor Harnett of Market Delta today in addition to learned that they are coming out amongst pregnant additions to that programme at no additional expense to users. Those additions are inwards beta testing at introduce in addition to should endure gear upward for curl out inwards the adjacent few weeks. My initial aspect suggests that the novel features volition endure of item help inwards gauging existent fourth dimension marketplace strength/weakness to help traders anticipate moves toward the cost targets. More to come!
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