Showing posts sorted by relevance for query catching-markets-themes. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query catching-markets-themes. Sort by date Show all posts

Saturday, December 8, 2018

Info!! Changing How Nosotros Come Across The World

One of the most of import findings inwards psychology is that people brand of import changes inwards their lives when they are inwards the midst of deep emotional experience.  Simply talking amongst a coach, counselor, or therapist doesn't inwards itself Pb to profound change.  Rather, it's when nosotros sense things strongly that our existing views of the footing are shaken up.  That milk shiver upward opens us to novel ways to persuasion ourselves, others, markets, together with the future.

This is i of the reasons of import alter tin ambit notice occur when people "hit bottom".  It's when everything has gone incorrect together with we're inwards despair that we're willing to brand a consummate overhaul inwards what nosotros do.  Therapists cry to this equally "corrective emotional experiences."

But it's non only negative sense together with setbacks that tin ambit notice assistance us run across together with produce things differently.  Sometimes powerful positive experiences cause got the same impact.  One illustration is the sense of awe:  when nosotros are together with then inspired past times something positive that it becomes a business office of us together with changes our perspectives going forward.  In a novel article, I push clitoris recent inquiry into awe together with how experiences of awe literally renew our pose out energy together with assistance us decease to a greater extent than successful.

A topic I cause got never heard expressed inwards conventional trading psychology is that markets--and participation inwards markets--can decease sources of awe.  That is, they tin ambit notice endure awe-inspiring.  When nosotros perceive the vast complexity of markets together with and then immerse ourselves that nosotros perceive a meaningful pattern, it's equally if we're catching a glimpse of the universe.  It's non an ego matter at all, strutting nearly together with proclaiming your "conviction" inwards an idea.  Rather, it's standing dorsum together with absorbing all that is happening together with allowing ideas together with themes to come upward to you.

Trading amongst your ego ultimately depletes our energy, equally nosotros cause got likewise many P/L dings.  Trading amongst a sense of openness together with awe tin ambit notice ambit us energy.  It tin ambit notice endure inspiring.  And that inspiration together with awe tin ambit notice assistance us alter how nosotros run across the world--it becomes a *positive* corrective emotional experience.  Many traders decease frustrated amongst markets together with struggle what is happening.  How dissimilar it is to sense markets equally awe-some!

Further Reading:


.

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Info!! Intermarket Themes Alongside Property Classes

The real kickoff topic I endeavor to seat when I ability upwards my reckoner inward the morning time is whether global investors are risk-seeking, risk-avoidant, or trading a mixed run a peril picture. This to a greater extent than frequently than non corresponds to whether those investors as well as traders are positioning themselves for global growth/expansion or for economical weakness/contraction.

Risk-seeking themes demo upwards as:

* Buying commodities, such every bit stone oil as well as copper;

* Buying the currencies of growing economies (and economies exposed to emerging economies) vs. USD;

* Selling U.S. Treasuries (rising bond yields);

* Buying increment oriented stock sectors (small caps, tech) vs. bluish scrap indexes;

* Buying stocks from emerging markets vs. U.S.;

* Buying speculative credit vs. Treasury debt.

Risk-avoidant themes typically embody the reverse. When nosotros don't run across risk-related assets moving inward unison, frequently nosotros boot the bucket a range, consolidation merchandise inward which assets are reallocated inside markets as well as sectors.

Catching the mood of large investors early on inward the trading hateful solar daytime tin frequently assistance traders exploit these themes on a hateful solar daytime timeframe. It besides tin assistance traders avoid getting operate over past times fighting the intermarket tides.

.

Tuesday, February 18, 2020

Info!! Intermarket Relationships: Thinking Inward Themes

Consider how the markets traded today:

* Treasury prices were up; yields were lower

* Stocks continued their fall into the trading make of belatedly 2008

* Commodity prices fell; most notably oil

* Consumer discretionary shares underperformed consumer staples stocks

* Financial as well as housing stocks underperformed the wide market

Broadly speaking, markets tin merchandise inwards risk-seeking or risk-shunning ways. How traders process Treasury debt relative to equities; how traders process riskier sectors of stocks relative to to a greater extent than defensive ones; how traders anticipate economical increment or weakness inwards their pricing of commodities: all of these reverberate themes inwards markets that enjoin yous a smashing bargain close the mood as well as persuasion of large marketplace participants.

Catching those themes early on inwards the trading session is quite helpful for short-term traders. Many ideas tin last formulated but past times gauging how riskier assets are trading relative to safer ones.
.

Info!! Observing Marketplace Grade Visit Through The Lens Of Credit Markets

catching marketplace position themes that reverberate the consider of dominant marketplace position players. The fixed income markets offering a overnice consider of investor flying to security (Treasury bond toll strength) vs. willingness to assume opportunity inwards search of yield. Recent activity suggests that, inwards the confront of dubiousness inwards the fiscal system, investors volition vantage safer sources of yield relative to riskier ones. Observing how these segments of the credit markets are trading during the twenty-four hr menstruum provides a worthwhile consider on trends in addition to turnarounds inwards investor sentiment.
.

Monday, February 3, 2020

Info!! Seeing The Whole Field: Catching A Stock Marketplace Position Plow Past Times Tracking Related Sectors In Addition To Property Classes

through describe inwards the wide listing of stocks Info!! Seeing the Whole Field:  Catching a Stock Market Turn By Tracking Related Sectors in addition to Asset Classes
Here's a quick snapshot of this morning's merchandise inwards the S&P 500 e-mini futures (ES), every bit nosotros deed dorsum into a two-day trading gain for a profitable fade. Early inwards the session, I noted inwards my Twitter post that I was skeptical of the market's rally. Instead of seeing follow-through describe inwards the wide listing of stocks--small caps, NASDAQ issues--we saw selling. Moreover, the pro-risk themes inwards other property classes (selling Treasuries, ascension yields; selling States dollar vs. euro) reversed inwards early on trade. We could every bit good run into selling inwards the pro-growth sectors: technology, materials, in addition to consumer discretionary shares. It's a swell illustration of how themes from diverse sectors in addition to markets tin illuminate the day's merchandise inwards stocks.
.

Sunday, December 8, 2019

Info!! A Solution-Focused Approach To Overcoming Trading Frustration

My first postal service inwards this series explained why frustration is possibly the most destructive forcefulness affecting active traders. The instant postal service outlined cognitive strategies for preventing as well as overcoming trading frustration. This terminal postal service volition explicate a solution-focused approach for dealing alongside the frustrations that tin generate overtrading, missed opportunities, as well as impulsive decision-making.

Whereas cognitive techniques for dealing alongside trading problems focus on changing negative patterns of thinking nigh ourselves as well as markets, solution-focused approaches stimulate from the premise that--at times--we are already enacting the positive patterns ("solutions") that nosotros desire. Instead of focusing on what we're doing incorrect as well as trying to forestall ourselves from doing it (which solely keeps us problem-focused), nosotros instead arts and crafts solution patterns out of our best trading.

There was a menstruum inwards which I institute myself trading every bit good much as well as losing coin needlessly. I recognized that I was inwards a frustrated state when I was putting the trades on. In the dorsum of my mind, I sensed that they were pitiful trades from their inception.

I also recognized that in that location were times inwards which I traded inwards a rattling harmonious state of mind. I had clarity nigh what I was doing as well as it felt every bit though the marketplace position was coming to me. I wasn't trying to brand things happen.

From the solution-focused advantage point, I began to dissect those harmonious periods. The visit was that, if I could figure out what I was doing correct at those times, I could plough those "best practices" into routines--and ultimately into habit patterns.

One of the clearest conclusions that emerged from this analysis was that, during my harmonious trading, I had an explicit "top-down" perspective on the markets. I focused clearly on what was happening at larger fourth dimension frames as well as aligned myself alongside the market's broader construction (trending/non-trending) as well as themes. During my frustrated trading, I worked from "bottoms-up", looking for short-term setups regardless of the market's broader picture.

Little wonder that I would boot the bucket run over on those bottoms-up trades, catching the side past times side ticks, but missing the side past times side points. My frustration stemmed, non but from my losses, but also from my feelings nigh what I was doing. At to a greater extent than or less level, I was frustrated alongside myself for non trading the means I know how to trade. In short-circuiting my decision-making process, I felt that I was losing a business office of myself, my integrity.

From the solution-focused frame, I institute in this postal service as well as its links, every bit good every bit Chapter Four of The Daily Trading Coach.
.

Saturday, November 2, 2019

Info!! Agreement In Addition To Trading Stock Marketplace Breakout Moves

as noted inward the recent post. Why a multiday range? Because over the cast of multiple trading sessions, both bulls as well as bears are positioning themselves for the side past times side move. When that motion does occur, those on the incorrect side of the merchandise own got to scramble out of their positions, fueling the breakout move. As a petroleum rule, the longer the trading range, the to a greater extent than extended the breakout move.

Note that a trader didn't own got to predict the breakout to nevertheless net turn a profit from it. The genuine breakouts volition non render to their prior trading ranges for the reasons outlined above. The offset retracement subsequently the breakout tin brand a fine short-term entry point.

So what produce nosotros await for inward a valid breakout move, every bit opposed to ane that volition ultimately neglect as well as reverse? Here are a few keys:

1) Expanded book on the interruption (see blueish arrow above). That tells us that at that topographic point is wide credence of lower prices as well as that institutional traders are participating inward the move;

2) Volume heavily weighted toward buyers or sellers. We should encounter real positive or negative NYSE TICK on the break, as well as the proportion of book transacted at marketplace offering or bid should endure quite high;

3) We should encounter wide participation on the break. Most if non all stock marketplace sectors should endure moving amongst the full general averages, as well as nosotros should encounter a commensurate interruption inward the intraday advance/decline figures;

4) Intermarket themes should endure confirming the break. In yesterday's case, that meant a rising dollar, falling commodities, rising Treasury prices, as well as jeopardy aversion inward credit markets.

The breakout motion indicates that the key supply/demand province of affairs of the stock marketplace has shifted, moving from the equilibrium of a trading arrive at to a to a greater extent than one-sided trade. That one-sided activeness volition buy the farm along until tin accomplish a novel equilibrium. That occurs when longer-timeframe participants larn tempted past times the novel toll levels as well as larn convinced that the marketplace has moved also far from value.

Until that time, the breakout motion becomes a short-term trend. Traders who stand upwards aside as well as fret that they "missed the break" tin destination upwards missing a to a greater extent than extended motion past times non recognizing the market's key demand/supply shift.

.