Showing posts sorted by relevance for query adapting-to-change-greatest-challenge. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query adapting-to-change-greatest-challenge. Sort by date Show all posts

Sunday, August 11, 2019

Info!! Adapting To Change: The Greatest Challenge Inward Trading

Here's why I'm writing a novel majority on trading psychology:

The condition quo says that problems inwards trading functioning are the lawsuit of emotional disruption, lapses of discipline, in addition to failure to consistently human activeness upon one's border inwards markets.

That analysis simply does non jibe my experience, either every bit a coach or every bit a trader.

Successful traders don't all of a abrupt morph into inconsistent handbasket cases.  And when you lot run across multiple talented traders lose coin at the same time, it's impossible to believe that an epidemic of lapsed dependent area has all of a abrupt struck the trading community.

Rather, what happens is that the border that had been acquaint inwards markets no longer exists.  Markets continually change--they shift inwards their patterns of trend, volatility, correlation, etc.--so that what in i lawsuit worked no longer yields reliable results.  The momentum trader makes coin until volatility shrinks in addition to nosotros displace into choppy, rangebound trade.  That brings frustration in addition to emotional disruption, but the motion of the negative emotions is a failure of adaptation to markets--not a failure of dependent area or rule-following.  Indeed, doubling downwards on next rules that no longer function tin alone cement farther losses in addition to frustration.

To last sure, in i lawsuit emotional upset enters the trader's experience, it tin interfere amongst futurity decisions.  But no sum of psychological stress management volition create needed adaptations to changed markets.  That tin alone last accomplished past times treating losses every bit potential sources of information--as signals that warning us to altered marketplace regimes.  

Once you lot persuasion drawdowns every bit information--not precisely every bit failures or every bit stresses--the door opens to a deeper agreement of markets in addition to ways inwards which nosotros tin accept our trading to that proverbial side past times side level.  The challenge is non simply to larn trading; it's too to unlearn in addition to relearn it when markets acquaint different, fresh chance sets.

Market Structure in addition to Adapting to Change

Friday, December 21, 2018

Info!! What I've Learned From My Trading Setbacks

During the summertime months, I conduct maintain made a concerted endeavour to operate on my trading.  My twelvemonth to appointment results had been good below my average returns in addition to indeed had turned negative for the possess fourth dimension inwards recent memory.  I took that every bit a worthy challenge in addition to engaged inwards a detailed review of what was working in addition to what wasn't working inwards my trading.  I'm pleased to tell that the results of this operate conduct maintain been quite positive, non only turning the P/L roughly but also instilling both a consistency of procedure in addition to a consistency of results.  Below I portion a few of the things I conduct maintain learned inwards my trading that mightiness hold out of assist to other traders who are adapting to challenging, depression volatility markets:

1)  Think inwards Cycles - This has been ane of the 2 greatest changes I've made inwards my trading.  I stopped thinking nigh trends in addition to ranges entirely, I don't focus on nautical chart patterns, in addition to I don't pretend to know what the "big players" are doing apart from noting book patterns.  Instead, I am identifying dominant cycles inwards the marketplace position at short, medium, in addition to longer fourth dimension frame in addition to focusing on how those cycles interact amongst ane another.  I am focusing on cycles of volatility inwards the market, every bit good every bit cyclical cost action.  This has been a much to a greater extent than effective agency to participate inwards directional marketplace position behavior, specially when implemented inwards trial time. The cycle framework has naturally made me to a greater extent than flexible every bit a trader:  at for certain junctures inwards a cycle, I am a "trend" trader, next the momentum that occurs when cycles employment up.  At other cycle junctures, I am a "mean reversion" trader, adjusting to the "choppiness" that occurs when cycles are non aligned.  Most of all, I've acquire ameliorate at focusing on dominant cycles in addition to the ways inwards which volatility regimes shift the cycles that dominate.

2)  Focus on Execution - H5N1 side produce goodness of the cycle framework is that it allows for simultaneous tracking of brusque term in addition to longer term cycles.  The brusque term cycles acquire extremely useful inwards entry in addition to locomote out execution, allowing the trader to extract to a greater extent than from each trade.  I honour that the divergence betwixt skilful entries in addition to exits in addition to misfortunate ones inwards depression volatility markets is an of import cistron of making in addition to losing money.  I mightiness hold out trading a longer term cycle, but I volition purpose a brusque term cycle to brand it nigh a trough in addition to locomote out nigh a peak.  This is a flake counterintuitive, every bit you're buying when things expect worst in addition to selling when they've been latterly strong.  By giving execution a brusque volatility bias, it's helped me participate inwards directional moves that produce occur.

3)  Focus on Trading Spirituality, Not Just Trading Psychology - This is subtle in addition to is a theme non everyone is comfortable with.  Trading simply doesn't operate when it is *me* focused.  Me making money, me losing, me becoming successful, me working on my the world of mind, etc.  Once the ego is the focus, nosotros lose flexibility in addition to perspective.  I of all people should know that: every bit a psychologist, if therapy ever becomes nigh me, I lose my effectiveness.  The science of a therapist is inwards listening, understanding, in addition to responding to some other person.  If I'm concerned nigh my income, my reputation, or my feelings nigh the other person, I lose my focus in addition to my impact.  In the by months, I've regrounded myself inwards my religious belief in addition to made spiritual readings a daily business office of my forenoon routine. The alter inwards perspective has been dramatic. H5N1 turning betoken occurred when my inquiry yielded a really skilful merchandise opportunity.  I didn't experience excitement, conviction, greed, or whatever of those things.  I felt grateful.  It's a large change.

I'll hold out doing a costless online workshop this calendar week in addition to volition hold out happy to amplify these ideas.  Setbacks occur for a reason; they betoken the agency to novel directions nosotros require to take.  I promise you lot ever conduct maintain setbacks inwards your trading in addition to I promise they ever brand you lot a ameliorate trader--and a ameliorate person.
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Monday, January 14, 2019

Info!! Edifice Success Past Times Breaking Things

There's an interesting fallacy inwards trading psychology:  Because many trading errors are made when people are inwards states of high physiological/emotional arousal, the decision is that a country of Zen-like calm as well as emotional restraint is necessary for trading success.  That would locomote a neat theory, except inwards over a decade of working alongside professional person traders, I can't discovery whatsoever successful ones who are peculiarly some enlightenment.  It takes a grade of achievement orientation as well as drive for success to perform good inwards whatsoever field.  Those qualities ensure that failure volition non locomote an piece of cake experience.

Of course, at that topographic point are ways you lot tin acquire less emotionally aroused.  You tin plough everything you lot produce into a routine as well as thus tell yourself that you'll brand coin because you're disciplined as well as follow a process.  You tin merchandise alongside such pocket-sized run a jeopardy that no loss tin e'er throw you.  When markets change, your dependent area volition acquire your noose, ensuring that you lot maintain to produce the incorrect things.  And when you lot merchandise well, pocket-sized run a jeopardy taking volition ensure that you lot brand pocket-sized amounts of money.

But you'll receive got emotional command as well as a smug feel of superiority relative to all those traders who lose coin as well as pound their desks.

Whatever.

The best traders I know are similar the best entrepreneurs I know:  they loathe failure as well as they courtroom failure.  They loathe failing, larn from mistakes, endeavour novel things, acquire knocked down, as well as refine the things they've tried.  They laid upward things as well as force them until they break.  The breaking is no fun; it is frustrating; it is anything precisely an emotionally neutral experience.  But it's what feeds eventual success.  

If you lot endeavour 10 novel things inwards a twelvemonth as well as 2 of them are successful, 5 of them are so-so, as well as 3 of them are dismal disappointments, you'll collect quite a repertoire past times improving the so-so ideas, maximizing the successful ones, as well as turning the failures into funny stories when you lot expire out.  How dissimilar from that is the someone who becomes depressed because they're succeeding inwards solely 20% of their ideas!

You can't larn the limits of your ideas unless you lot stress them.  That way that sh*t volition break, you'll "fail", you'll locomote disappointed--and you'll channel all that into figuring out how to brand your ideas stronger.  

If you're non developing things, breaking things, as well as using your frustration to brand things better, you're moving also slow.  Real failure occurs when markets alter faster than nosotros do.

Further Reading:

Adapting to the Market's True Clock

The Greatest Challenge inwards Trading
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